
The last mid-term election we had was in 2014, and in that year, only 46% of registered North Carolinians turned out to vote, as compared to the 2016 election, when 67% of voters showed up at the polls. This year, Democratic candidates running in heavily Republican districts are hoping that normally apathetic voters will be energized by the #MeToo movement, or by a Congress that is controlled largely by white, misogynistic men, or by right-wing lawmakers in Raleigh, or by President Trump’s own disturbing behavior, and that they will show up at the polls in record numbers on November 6. Republicans, meanwhile, are hoping to hold on to power at the local, state, and federal levels. Given the space constraints of a newspaper column, I’m going to limit my focus to three congressional races, two state senate races, and two sheriff’s races. I’ll begin with the candidates for sheriff in Guilford and Forsyth counties.
I’ve never met Danny Rogers and know very little about him, except that he has ten years of law enforcement experience, and has allegedly been embroiled in some financial and legal problems. What I do know is that BJ Barnes has been an outstanding sheriff in Guilford County for the past 24 years, and beyond that I just like the man. I disagree with 80% of his conservative Republican politics, but I am a 100% fan of his ethics and honesty. A former Marine, BJ Barnes is both tough and amiable, and he deserves another term as sheriff.
I have similar feelings about the sheriff’s race in Forsyth where Democrat Bobby Kimbrough is challenging Republican incumbent Bill Schatzman. Kimbrough appears to be a serious man who, as he told the Kernersville News, believes that “leadership saves lives.” Schatzman, a former FBI agent, has served as sheriff for 16 years, and during that time he’s been accessible to citizens and has tackled the county’s drug problem head-on. As with my pick in Guilford, I support Bill because I respect the job he has done.
All 50 of our state senate seats are up for grabs on Tuesday, and Democrats must pick up an additional six of those seats in order to break the GOP stranglehold over Governor Cooper’s veto power. I’m hoping that two of those net gains will come in the 27th and 30th Districts. Republican incumbent Phil Berger of Rockingham’s 30th District is the big dog in Raleigh. Since becoming Senate President Pro-Tem, Berger’s handprint has been on every major piece of legislation, and on every major issue, from voter suppression to transgender rights. Who but Phil Berger could stall and frustrate the courts by continuing to offer re-drawn districts that are gerrymandered for either race or party. Who but Phil Berger could pull an end run around the Supremes by crafting Voter ID into a Constitutional Amendment after the court had rejected it as a bill. Berger has to go, and perhaps Jen Mangrum is the person to show him the door. Mangrum is a college professor at UNCG [full disclosure: I am a UNCG grad and member of the Alumni board], so education and workforce development are important issues to her, as is accessible, affordable healthcare. Berger is a solid favorite thanks to gerrymandering, but if Jen can inspire large numbers of women and young people to turn out, then she might upset the incumbent.
While Berger is drunk on power (that’s a figure of speech), those who do his bidding can be just as dangerous. One prominent politician described 27th District Republican Trudy Wade as someone who,”carries water for Berger”. In return Phil gives Trudy the latitude to introduce some really wacky, partisan legislation. Her attempt to re-align the structure of Greensboro City Council was described by former Governor Pat McCrory as “legislative overreach”. After all, state lawmakers aren’t supposed to meddle in local politics, but Trudy didn’t get that memo. Fortunately her ploy to stack City Council with Republicans, and muzzle the mayor, fell short, but that didn’t stop her from using her office to get revenge on another Greensboro institution, the News & Record. Though she has denied any vengeful motive in introducing legislation that could cost the GNR and other local papers to lose tons of money, the fact remains that Trudy’s so-called pilot program to allow counties to bypass the print media and post all legal notices on county websites actually targets only Guilford county newspapers who have never endorsed her. Voters may not care about the plight of local print media, but they should care about abuse of power, and cast their vote for Wade’s Democrat opponent Michael Garrett.
Last week, on my Triad Today television program, I moderated discussions with candidates from three congressional districts. The 30-minute Voter Education Special included a solo interview with 5th District Democrat DD Adams (incumbent Virginia Foxx declined to participate), and debates between 6th District Rep. Mark Walker and his Democratic challenger Ryan Watts, and between 13th District GOP incumbent Rep. Ted Budd and his challenger, Kathy Manning.
DD Adams is a member of Winston-Salem City Council and a dedicated public servant who advocates for affordable healthcare, and who believes that term limits are needed for Congress. Virginia Foxx is a hard-worker, but she has been in lock-step with every hare-brained policy put forth first by George W. Bush, and now by Donald Trump. Also, Foxx is the first one who misled voters into thinking that passage of Obamacare would create death panels for seniors. That was not only a false narrative, it was a cruel joke to play on the most vulnerable among us. Virginia has served seven terms, and it’s time for her to let someone else give it a try.
Ryan Watts is a business consultant from Burlington who favors more gun controls including a ban on assault weapons. He also favors a less restrictive immigration policy, and he supports a Public Option for healthcare. While I agree with most of Ryan’s positions, and Lord knows I think we need more Democrats in the House, I’m not sure he’s got the gravitas to survive in D.C. just yet. On the other hand, two-term incumbent Mark Walker, a former minister and missionary, entered Congress with highly developed people skills which served him well in building coalitions with members of both parties. Mark is also a great listener who has acted on constituent input to re-work legislation. Mark is a true, compassionate servant of the people, and he deserves a third term in Washington.
That brings me to the contentious 13th District race between first term Republican congressman Ted Budd and challenger Kathy Manning, an attorney from Greensboro. In past columns and on Triad Today, I have made it known that we need more women in Congress, and while I agree with Manning on almost every issue, she might not be the right woman at the right time for this district. Two years ago, Ted Budd wrested the GOP nomination away from a host of more seasoned candidates mainly because he had a half million dollars in D.C. PAC money at his disposal. Those funds allowed him to purchase lots of TV ads and build his name recognition in a way that his underfunded opponents couldn’t. Spilled milk. Ted, the owner of a gun shop and shooting range, is against a ban on assault-style weapons, and he is against Medicare-for-All. Yet, like Mark Walker, Ted is a personable, humble man, almost devoid of ego, who is willing to listen to opposing views. He also handles criticisms with a smile instead of a snarl. When it comes to policy, Ted and I are polar opposites on most issues, and yet I think it’s OK to support someone you disagree with, so long as he isn’t disagreeable. That’s why I’m endorsing Ted for another term in Congress.
In the end, my opinions might not count for much, but your vote does, so please show up and be counted next Tuesday.
Posted November 27, 2018 By Triad TodayGerrymandering Doesn’t Always Succeed
Last week, Democratic congressional candidate Kathy Manning talked to the Associated Press about her mid-term loss to 13th district Republican incumbent Ted Budd. Said Manning, “We did everything we could, but we just could not overcome the gerrymandering.” Were he alive today, founding father James Madison might take issue with Ms. Manning’s assessment.
In 1788, Patrick Henry persuaded the Virginia General Assembly to re-draw the 5th Congressional district to favor his friend James Monroe, who was running against Madison, a sworn enemy of Henry’s. But despite Patrick Henry’s map manipulation, James Madison still defeated Monroe. The reason was simple. Voters who showed up at the polls simply preferred Madison over Monroe. Though it fell short initially, Patrick Henry’s plan to craft a district in favor of one party over another was the first documented case of gerrymandering in America, and served as a template for a form of voter suppression that has remained a part of the political landscape for 230 years.
Perhaps it’s not fair to compare election outcomes that are two centuries apart, or two candidates with such distinctly different resumes. After all, Madison is famous for writing the Constitution, while Manning is mainly famous for writing checks to Democrats. Still, Madison overcame a rigged system to win, and that’s no small feat. Which raises the question, if Kathy Manning only lost because of district-wide gerrymandering, then how did two local Democratic candidates defeat two GOP incumbent sheriffs? And how did Democrat Michael Garrett beat Republican incumbent Trudy Wade for a seat in the State Senate? It’s because the folks who turned out on November 6 were selectively energized. They proved that a coalition of inspired Democrats, independents, and first-time voters could thumb their noses at the architects of gerrymandering, while refusing to be a lemming for every single Democratic candidate.
Don’t get me wrong. I’m not downplaying the corrupt nature of gerrymandering. In fact, I continue to call for the creation of a non-partisan commission to re-draw district lines. I’m just saying that until such time as those boundaries can be drawn without respect to party politics, that there is a way to beat back gerrymandering. How? For one thing, unaffiliated voters now constitute the second largest block of registered voters in North Carolina (2 million, compared to 2.5 million Democrats and 1.5 million Republicans) and when enough of them are energized at the same time as Democrats, then upsets can happen.
The problem is that in most gerrymandered districts, North Carolina Democrats and independents don’t all get energized at the same time over the same issues, which explains why even though Democrats accounted for nearly half of the popular vote for Congressional candidates statewide, Republicans still retained 10 of our 13 congressional seats.
Regardless of what the courts might order us to do about our gerrymandered map in the short term, we know that two years from now, the state legislature will draw up an entirely new map based on the 2020 census. Between now and then, a number of organizations, and men like former U.S. Attorney General Eric Holder, are focused on getting people registered to vote and keeping them energized to participate in the political process. If they are successful, then new coalitions of voters can play a significant role in thwarting the goals of gerrymandering. To paraphrase Senator Cory Booker, “the power of the people is more powerful than the people in power.” James Madison believed that to be true in 1788, and it is still true today.